What is the Rational Investors?

The Rational Investors is a community focused on assisting one another make pragmatic wealth building decisions. Traditional financial education disseminates mainly from financial institutions, thus emphasizing what they want you to know including the strengths of their particular products and the weaknesses of others. We are here to help each other find honest, independent and straightforward financial insight.

Latest Articles

It May Not Be A Ponzi Scheme, But... by The Logic Group

Recently many media outlets have focused on ponzi schemes poignantly highlighting the ease of taking money from investors and falsifying the returns. Bernard Madoff's admission that he was running what could amount to as a $50 billion ponzi scheme rocked not only his investors, but all investors. Ponzi schemes unfortunately happen frequently, however the sheer size of this most recent event is hard to fathom, especially considering the sophistication of those taken by Madoff’s scheme.  Although the devastation was massive,  it pales in comparison to the scheme our government has orchestrated.

How to Own Gold and Silver by The Logic Group

Just as you should diversify the various asset classes that you hold, it is also a good idea to diversify how you invest in those asset classes.  This is especially true with precious metals.  There are many ways to invest in precious metals and many of them are good, but they are beneficial for different reasons.

Life Insurance by The Logic Group

Life insurance, strangely enough, is one of those topics that can lead to passionate disagreement (despite it's basic premise).  There are many different theories on what type of life insurance people should choose and how much of it they should have.  There is no right answer to these questions (as each person's situation and goals are different), but here is our take on the subject.

Diversification by The Logic Group

Your ability to lower the risk you are taking with your assets begins with diversification. The old adage about having your all eggs in one basket becomes even more true when it is your nest egg. 

Inflation by The Logic Group

Many people believe that inflation is headed our way soon.  The question is how best to prepare for it.  Inflation is a government-created problem that every government thinks it can control.  However, it has meant the end for several governments world-wide over the past two centuries.  As we try to build wealth for ourselves that we can rely on for our future benefit, we must keep in mind that saving up a slew of greenbacks may not work out as well over time as we may have planned if significant inflation were to occur in the near future. 

Why You Need Gold in Your Portfolio by The Logic Group

As we work and build wealth we seek ways to store that wealth.  As recently as the early 1930's that wealth could have been stored safely in U.S. dollars, as the currency itself was insured.  It was backed by gold and silver.  However, over the course of the 20th century the dollar lost all of its ties to gold and silver.  Now the U.S. dollar is backed only by the trust that people place in its value, it is yet another fiat currency.  If you want to store wealth for the long term, you need to convert some of your accumulated dollars into real money, not just currency.  Accordingly, it makes sense for everyone to own gold, not as an investment, but as insurance.

Falling In Love With An Asset Class by The Logic Group

 Too many financial advisers, analysts, and individuals fall in love with one particular asset class and are always looking for it to shine above all others.  If you are talking with someone who has a background heavy in fixed income they relate to everything else through bonds and often recommend a higher exposure to fixed income assets.  You might also see someone with a tilt towards large cap growth or large cap value investing and they always feel that these assets will do better than other assets.  It is rare to find an advisor that does not have some sort of bias.

The Focus of The Rational Investors by The Logic Group

  This site’s focus is to provide financial education for independent investors or those who want to be independent investors.  We want to encourage you to learn to think for yourself and understand that being financially educated is your responsibility, as are the decisions you make about your finances.  In today’s society our young people are not taught to be financially savvy, which leaves them especially vulnerable to the high pressure sales pitches from financial institutions.  In fact, much of the “information” the average person is exposed to about the financial world is actually an elaborate sales pitch.  Many otherwise educated, successful, intelligent people are naïve about the world of personal finance. 

Financial Assessment by The Logic Group

 We believe it is time to take a step back and examine your financial affairs to better understand where you are.  It has been a volatile year, and you need to think about how you have fared, and where you should be headed.

Wealth Building Plan by The Logic Group

Everyone should develop a wealth building plan.  Unlike a financial plan, a wealth building plan focuses on effectively turning effort into wealth.  Thus, it recognizes the fact that the right effort and skill can create wealth and seeks to effectively maintain and grow that wealth. 

Newest Blog Entries

Feb6

Written by:The Logic Group
2/6/2010 8:59 PM 

 

The concept of fixed income is enormous and extremely complicated.  We will attempt here to give you a quick look at what the concept means, and why it is important to you.  If there are any fixed income geeks reading this you may be offended by the simplicity with which we deal with this subject; however, please keep in mind that the intricacies of the yield curve are beyond the scope of this piece. 
 

Many people seek to put some of their investments in fixed income in order to stabilize their returns and generate income.  Common types of fixed income investments include bonds and certificates of deposit (CD’s).  These investments provide a set income payment and a lump sum payment at the end of the term of the investment.  There are varying degrees of risk in these investments, and it is possible that your principal and/or income will not be fully returned to you. 
 

Theoretically, the older you are the more you will tilt your portfolio toward fixed income to increase the income you receive and lower the volatility in your portfolio.  This being said, people of all ages often include some fixed income in their portfolios.  This is so because fixed income gives you important diversification, and, despite what traditional planning may tell you, being in all equities is almost never a good idea. 
 

Not all fixed income investments carry the same risks, but an important one to consider now is how long you are investing the funds.  We are in a period of particularly low interest rates, and thus if you lock your money up for a longer period of time you are taking on risk that you need to be aware of.  If you invest in something like a CD, where the principal is guaranteed, then your risk is merely that you will receive a lower interest payment than you otherwise could have by locking in a long term during a low interest environment. 
 

When you invest in bonds the underlying value of that bond fluctuates over its life.  If you hold the bond until maturity, and the issuer does not default, then you will get all of your principal back.  There are differing levels of risk depending on the issuer of the bond.  Generally speaking, the more likely the issuer will default the higher the yield the issuer will have to pay. 
 

Mutual funds can be a great way to diversify your holdings; however, fixed income mutual funds can have some inherent risks built into them.  With an individual bond, if you are confident the issuer will not default, then you are free to hold it until maturity and not really risk any losses.  While the value of the bond will fluctuate, you will still get the same stream of income and then all of your principal back when it matures.  Thus what happens to the “value” in between is less important.  With a mutual fund the fluctuation in value is more of a risk to you, as you do not have control over whether or not these bonds are kept to maturity.  The bond fund manager does not even have complete control over this, as he may be forced to sell at an inopportune time to meet redemptions if too many of your fellow investors decide to cash out. 
 

Many people take a hands off approach to their investments and employ a set asset allocation.  This can be problematic in a fixed income environment such as the present one where rates are as low as they can be.  Eventually rates will have to go up.  Thus, the portion of an allocation dedicated to intermediate to longer term fixed income will hurt when rates go up. 
 

Actively changing your allocation is not always a good idea if you are not confident in your ability to react to changing market events on a regular basis.  At the same time it is hard to watch something you know will lose value.  At this time, our best advice is to stay short with your fixed income investments.  Make sure that you do not have things that will mature past about two years.  Generally speaking, intermediate bond funds can add strong diversification to your portfolio, but in the near term they are likely to just lose money for you.

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